Published March 1, 2011 at volataire.net.org
by Maurizio Matteuzzi
The situation in Libya could not be more confused. It is impossible to have an overview and each must be his idea of assuming that information can not be verified. Italian journalist Maurizio Matteuzzi describes this uncertainty from Tripoli, where he sees only a part of reality and fails to interpret.
" no massacres, no bombing, no violence" against civilians. It With these words Moussa Ibrahim, spokesman for the Libyan government, began yesterday morning his daily briefing for foreign press (which now comes in crowds, journalists and leading U.S. media, led by superstar CNN's Christiane Amanpour). For him, the attempt to "Iraq-style regime change is driven by" Western imperialist powers, "who want" oil, and the Islamists, who want to make Libya "an Somalia Mediterranean or Afghanistan "the" West "and" al Qaeda "seized" protests peaceful and legitimate "for reforms to sow" chaos "in Libya and already causing" a hundred 'deaths, but "both sides . As to the punitive resolution 1970 approved by the Security Council for the spokesperson, it is inconceivable that it will be based exclusively on "media reports , committed us hope this is now clear to all world, even for the most ardent opponents of Gaddafi, in a disinformation comparable only to that for us to stick with the latest on " weapons of mass destruction" of Saddam Hussein (you bet that if the Colonel does not fall immediately, there will of someone find one for Libya, too?). Experienced
-or-less view of Tripoli, the evolution of the Libyan crisis is staggering. From here we want to give-and to some extent, we feel that daily life is "normal " (and at least the day it is) that Gaddafi has "control " quasi not only full- the capital Tripoli, but the entire country (only the Cyrenaica is lost, others are only "pockets " pockets of resistance, said the spokesperson) that " is moving rapidly toward the return to calm and peace "(words of Saif al-Islam, son" reformer "Colonel), whereas if the calm and peace are not back yet is because the leader" has given strict orders not to fire on the crowd "(although he called the rebels" to exterminate rats ") that in any case, one seeks a negotiated way out and that he-Saif has already initiated a dialogue with rebels by cons if we search the " civil war," we will, as protest and rebellion are the work of several Islamic fundamentalists that the Colonel has always treated without going around the bush, with praise and recognition of these democratic leaders who now condemn him and want to try send him to the International Criminal Court (let him go, but after the gentlemen as the Bush, Blair, Cheney and Rumsfeld).
From outside, the outside world, the scenario for which we Here are embedded and read the information on Libyan international agencies and newspapers in Italy, is wildly opposed. For Gaddafi is a matter of hours on Libyan cities, Tripoli and except his home province of Surt-fleet flag waved by the rebels, black-red-green was that of the monarchy overthrown by sénousite Gaddafi in 1969 (but no question about the fact that King Idris was a puppet of the English) because the dead soldiers, militias and "African mercenaries " no longer count and increase or decrease depending on the day: 300 , 1000, 10 000, 2000 ... And even Tripoli Gaddafi is now lost and only now controls the area of the city that is around his residence in the compound military Bab al-Azizia, a general history to the rebels, Ahmed Gatrani, as we read the Washington Post, has created an army in Benghazi and is already at the gates of Tripoli (which is more than a thousand kilometers from the capital of Cyrenaica) on which he launched a first strike on Friday last, for now rejected by the government (whose journalists here have neither seen nor heard any sign).
Schizophrenia in pure
Is this possible? Possible in a schizophrenic situation as we saw is that when you're here in Tripoli. Printing in all cases is that Qaddafi has lost the game and the circle around him was already closed at the politico-diplomatic-media world, and he is also close to Libya. Matter of time and ways. If they really want to push this " civil war" that threatens the Colonel and his son as " dialogue, perhaps there will more time and, Certainly, more deaths. If one goes into a kind of emergency exit in one way or another negotiated solution might be quicker and less bloody.
The problem in Libya is that, unlike Tunisia and Egypt, the armed forces are not strong enough a factor (at least so far) to land on the balance beam. Another problem is, contrary even to Tunisia and Egypt, also lack other factors potentially decisive resolution of the game: such as unions and parties, and cons, such as Yemen and Iraq, this is a clan-tribal structure to be reckoned with.
The revolt also, so far, gave no signs of being able to constitute political authority beyond the immediate objective to hunt al-Gaddafi, and if we do not want to give credit to what the Colonel Yelling from the beginning: that the rebels are really excited by the long hand "of al Qaeda " or at least here in Libya, by the fundamentalist clerics and their followers who cry out against the mosques " Gaddafi enemy of God. "
Sunday, the former Minister Justice Mustafa Abdeljalil, past the side "of the people ", presented at a Benghazi " National Council" composed of civilian representatives of the cities "liberated " and members who have resigned. The stated goal is to go to " free elections" within three months (too short to be truly free and representative). The spokesman of the National Council was quick to deny it a "provisional government ", "acting "or" transition, perhaps to stop the outset of any ambition Abdeljalil. But that announcement have already launched negotiations with the "tribal elders " and said the newspaper Quryna -semi-independent daily Saif al-Islam: Another paradox or signal? - That "there will be no reckoning "indiscriminate.
Even Saif al-Islam said to have begun negotiations with the clan and tribes, many of whom have joined the revolt against the Colonel. And have offered dialogue " opposition " offer rejected by the National Council. The Libyan situation is, as said a diplomat from the Italian embassy, " magma. Very magma. The decisive moment approaches. And even if the result seems to have decided, anything can still happen before the end. In the coming days or next few hours.
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